Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.029085 0.031328 0.033673 0.036312 0.039201 0.042272 0.045789
2025-02-16 0.025296 0.028461 0.031947 0.036084 0.040876 0.046274 0.052841
2025-02-23 0.022692 0.026369 0.030579 0.035781 0.042076 0.049494 0.058966
2025-03-02 0.020892 0.024917 0.029672 0.035747 0.043368 0.052696 0.065108
2025-03-09 0.019238 0.023442 0.028539 0.035237 0.043899 0.054851 0.069955
2025-03-16 0.017788 0.022079 0.027398 0.034559 0.044071 0.056450 0.074075
2025-03-23 0.016696 0.021072 0.026608 0.034229 0.044605 0.058475 0.078826
2025-03-30 0.015750 0.020180 0.025889 0.033909 0.045080 0.060389 0.083491
2025-04-06 0.014785 0.019198 0.024979 0.033249 0.045005 0.061483 0.086997
2025-04-13 0.014286 0.018805 0.024826 0.033600 0.046341 0.064625 0.093712
2025-04-20 0.013709 0.018268 0.024437 0.033579 0.047115 0.066966 0.099349
2025-04-27 0.013315 0.017960 0.024340 0.033957 0.048475 0.070236 0.106658
2025-05-04 0.012714 0.017336 0.023771 0.033620 0.048753 0.071892 0.111539
2025-05-11 0.012214 0.016832 0.023346 0.033468 0.049294 0.073977 0.117282
2025-05-18 0.011719 0.016311 0.022869 0.033204 0.049631 0.075739 0.122592
2025-05-25 0.011327 0.015920 0.022561 0.033175 0.050327 0.078110 0.129124
2025-06-01 0.010845 0.015375 0.021996 0.032709 0.050277 0.079224 0.133481
2025-06-08 0.010356 0.014798 0.021355 0.032089 0.049931 0.079798 0.136875
2025-06-15 0.009978 0.014373 0.020929 0.031787 0.050091 0.081240 0.141980
2025-06-22 0.009625 0.013974 0.020523 0.031494 0.050243 0.082662 0.147143
2025-06-29 0.009221 0.013478 0.019945 0.030890 0.049819 0.083022 0.150244
2025-07-06 0.009051 0.013341 0.019927 0.031211 0.051022 0.086390 0.159601
2025-07-13 0.008814 0.013089 0.019714 0.031192 0.051614 0.088663 0.166914